by Roger Bourke White Jr., copyright February 2016
In theory, in the TES environments regulations should go way down. After all, the cyber are dealing with the important and hazardous occupations. What needs to be regulated in human-visible ways?
But this thought train doesn't take into account instinctive thinking. Regulating is a form of prescriptionism. Much human regulation is powered by prescriptive-based instinctive thinking, and this instinctive element of regulating will increase as human activities become less and less relevant to overall goods and services productivity.
This essay explores how regulation, ambition and finance will be mixing in the 2050's.
In many areas of human activity the regulating will go up because the inefficiency the hoop-jumping causes is no longer impeding general prosperity. Inefficiency will no longer be hindering the instinct to prescribe because the costs of hoop-jumping on cyber-produced material prosperity will be so low. This happens because humans who feel the strong urge to regulate won't be understanding much about what cyber are up to, so they won't feel much urge to regulate their activities, and what crazy regulating they do come up with can be circumvented by clever cyber.
What will get affected most are dilettante activities -- things such as certifying who can be a hairdresser. This kind of activity can support a lot of prescribing, and this is quite visible to the eyes of the human communities.
But this prescribing comes with a twist. Mix cyber assistance into the certifying process, and what is hard about passing the written tests? What is lengthy and uncertain about it? If a person taking a test can go into zombie mode to look up answers, what's hard about the test? Practical demonstrations may be harder for cyber to assist on, so much certifying may become about physical demonstrations of prowess.
Besides certifying people for dilettante activities, what else can be regulated?
Mind altering will surely be, and the chronic irrationalities of what gets regulated in mind altering are likely to continue. For this reason there will likely be "dark side" wearables as well.
How will abortion be handled? Will it still be relevant? Will what is relevant in this child creating and raising arena have changed yet again?
Housing styles can be regulated. Likewise, artisanal working styles and conditions can be regulated.
One way around all the hamstringing caused by urban legend-based (delusional) prescriptions and regulations is the creation of "ambitious zones".
Will there be "ambitious zones"?
These would be the equivalents to colonial North America. In colonial America the bullshit aspects of regulating where kept low by the big challenges of mixing the frontier environment with the newly created Industrial Revolution. Can there become equivalent "big challenge environment" zones available somewhere in the 2050's? These can be either in places on Earth, or in some boom places in the nearby regions of the Solar System if profitable activities for space commerce have been discovered. (Sadly, I see this as a big if.)
Can people go to these zones in person, or can they get there via avatars? Hmm... Directly controlling avatars further apart than the Earth is from the Moon won't work well because of the long delay in communicating -- many seconds to many minutes or an hour for feedback to happen. If there are earth-controlled avatars in space, there will be a lot of on-the-spot cyber intelligence in the avatars for handling of local conditions such as balance and moving from place to place.
Likewise, what will financial regulation evolve into?
Finance is going to change dramatically, and so will saving. Financing big business will become cyber dominated -- with cyber money changing hands to fuel the various projects -- and that cyber money will not be luxury money. It will be something different.
As that happens, how will humans save and invest? For that matter: Why will they? Who will teach them to? Old grandmas? Who else?
The ambitious will still want to save. They will want lots of luxury money. But without big business finance available to them, what can they invest in? If they can't invest, how can they save? How can they follow their ambitions to become rich?
Hmm... Now that I think about it, this is a surprisingly big change in the 2050 environment. What will the 2050 stock market consist of? Will it be a bigger version of Kick Starter type stuff? What is now micro financing? In the 2050's when a micro finance originated company has a traditional IPO, does it then disappear from human finance radar and reappear in the cyber finance system?
Regulating and financing are two areas that will be very different in the 2050's. Both will be different because many activities that are currently regulated will transform into purely cyber controlled activities. As that happens, human regulation of these activities will become irrelevant.
But regulating won't end. Far from it! Instinctive thinking supports prescriptionism, which is a foundation of regulating. So there will still be lots of regulating of human-oriented activities. And that regulating will become even more instinctive thinking-oriented than in the 2010's.